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PAR-GWR-CARB: A monthly gridded surface carbonate system data product for the Pacific-Arctic Region from 1982-2021 (NCEI Accession 0292960)

Published by NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information | National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Department of Commerce | Metadata Last Checked: January 11, 2026 | Last Modified: 2025-04-15T00:00:00.000+00:00
The Pacific-Arctic Region (PAR) is highly sensitive to ocean acidification, yet data gaps in the carbonate system record persist due to the region's remote nature and environmental factors such as sea ice. To address these gaps, we utilized a geographically-weighted regression (GWR) to predict surface total alkalinity using salinity and temperature data at a monthly 1°x1° resolution. The GWR methodology, which allows regression coefficients to vary spatially, accounts for local factors such as riverine discharge, sea ice melt, primary productivity, and other influences on alkalinity. This approach achieved a high degree of accuracy, with an R² of 0.93, a mean absolute error (MAE) of 23 μmol/kg, and near-zero bias (mean bias error [MBE] of -0.01 μmol/kg), as validated by 10-fold cross-validation (N = 7,146). The derived regression coefficients were then applied to the Hadley EN4 salinity and OI SST temperature datasets to estimate total alkalinity. Subsequently, this total alkalinity dataset was integrated with the MPI-SOM-FFN surface pCO2 dataset to reconstruct the entire carbonate system (DIC, pH, [H⁺], Ω) from 1982 to 2021 at a monthly 1°x1° resolution.

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0292960 ARAGONITE SATURATION STATE DISSOLVED INORGANIC CARBON (DIC) partial pressure of carbon dioxide - water pH phosphate SALINITY SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE silicate total alkalinity carbon dioxide (CO2) gas analyzer nutrient autoanalyzer pH sensor temperature sensor titrator chemical model output physical VARIOUS CHARTERED VESSELS University of Rhode Island, Graduate School of Oceanography University of Rhode Island, Graduate School of Oceanography Ocean Carbon and Acidification Data System (OCADS) Arctic Ocean Beaufort Sea Bering Sea Chukchi Sea East Siberian Sea Gulf of Alaska North Pacific Ocean oceanography URI/GSO > Graduate School of Oceanography, University of Rhode Island Ocean Carbon and Acidification Data System (OCADS) Project EARTH SCIENCE > OCEANS > OCEAN CHEMISTRY > ALKALINITY EARTH SCIENCE > OCEANS > OCEAN CHEMISTRY > CARBON DIOXIDE EARTH SCIENCE > OCEANS > OCEAN CHEMISTRY > CARBONATE EARTH SCIENCE > OCEANS > OCEAN CHEMISTRY > INORGANIC CARBON EARTH SCIENCE > OCEANS > OCEAN CHEMISTRY > PH EARTH SCIENCE > OCEANS > OCEAN CHEMISTRY > PHOSPHATE EARTH SCIENCE > OCEANS > OCEAN CHEMISTRY > SILICATE EARTH SCIENCE > OCEANS > OCEAN TEMPERATURE > SEA SURFACE TEMPERATURE EARTH SCIENCE > OCEANS > SALINITY/DENSITY > SALINITY Model output dic h latitude longitude omega_ar pco2 ph phos sil sss sst subregions ta ta_gwr_a ta_gwr_b ta_gwr_c time u_dic u_h u_omega_ar u_pco2 u_ph u_sss u_ta AUTOANALYZER > AUTOANALYZER CO2 ANALYZERS > CO2 ANALYZERS PH METERS > PH METERS TEMPERATURE SENSORS > TEMPERATURE SENSORS OCEAN > ARCTIC OCEAN OCEAN > ARCTIC OCEAN > BEAUFORT SEA OCEAN > ARCTIC OCEAN > CHUKCHI SEA OCEAN > PACIFIC OCEAN > NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN OCEAN > PACIFIC OCEAN > NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN > BERING SEA OCEAN > PACIFIC OCEAN > NORTH PACIFIC OCEAN > GULF OF ALASKA Arctic Ocean Beaufort Sea Bering Sea Canadian Archipelago Chukchi Sea East Siberian Sea Gulf of Alaska Subarctic Pacific

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